Reflections at 14,000

I am just getting back from a much needed respite. I had originally contemplated writing about my attending the Northeast Consumer Forum in Newport, Rhode Island. But after I wrote about it, I thought it was a pretty boring piece. So instead, I’ll simply mention that I happened across this article out of San Diego on the foreclosure crisis.

But before I do, I need to create the mood, and since I am still trying to get back into the swing of things, I cannot manage a more artful segue than to tell you that I am going to create mood and thus, I am going segue.

In the 2001 film Moulin Rouge, Satine, played by Nicole Kidman is a doomed temptress at the French Club which is run by Harold Zidler, played by Jim Broadbent. Satine needs to tempt the Duke to give money to the club to fund a show. But before she can finish singing her first number, she passes out to the horror of the “guests” of the club. As she is carried backstage, concerned people fawn all around. When she awakes, she is coughing up blood, a fact her attendants are all too careful to hide from Harold who desperately needs the Duke’s money, and presumably, the Duke’s happiness, and sees the only way of getting both is through Satine.

Being the trooper that she is, she gets up. She is clearly having difficulty breathing. She doesn’t look like she can stand, and she’s sweating profusely. She assures Harold she’s fine, and Harold who can see only what he wants to see, announces gleefully “e-very-thing’s go-ing so welllll!” It’s painfully funny and sad.

Segue back to this article. Here’s a tid bit:

Now that the dice have come up snake eyes on the housing market, other shoes will probably be dropping soon. Retail sales, which are plummeting at places like Home Depot and Sears, seem likely to decline further as defaulting home buyers cut down on their big-ticket purchases. In June, retail sales excluding gasoline fell 0.9 percent.

If retail sales continue to fall, adding to the declines in construction and real estate employment, unemployment could start to rise. The Norris Group’s latest real estate market report presents a feasible scenario in which unemployment in California rises above 8 percent, compared with its current level of 5.2 percent.

Since the Dow closed today just shy of 14,000 points, I felt the need to bring balance to the impression that everything is going so well.

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